MLS

Major League Soccer Predictions

SBC 110

August 18-24

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Toronto FC3

67% 19%
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Vancouver0

14%
TOR VAN
Adjusted goals 2.8 0.0
Shot-based xG 1.2 0.2
Non-shot xG 3.6 0.1

August 11-17

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FC Dallas0

55% 25%
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Nashville0

20%
DAL NSH
Adjusted goals 0.0 0.0
Shot-based xG 0.6 1.1
Non-shot xG 0.5 1.4
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FC Dallas0

57% 24%
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Nashville1

20%
DAL NSH
Adjusted goals 0.0 1.1
Shot-based xG 1.0 0.3
Non-shot xG 1.5 0.9

Group stage

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LAFC2

63% 18%
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Portland2

19%
LAFC PRT
Adjusted goals 2.1 2.1
Shot-based xG 1.0 1.6
Non-shot xG 1.9 1.0
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LA Galaxy1

46% 21%
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Houston1

33%
LAG HOU
Adjusted goals 1.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 1.5 0.8
Non-shot xG 1.9 1.3
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Chicago0

66% 20%
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Vancouver2

15%
CHI VAN
Adjusted goals 0.0 2.1
Shot-based xG 2.0 0.8
Non-shot xG 2.1 1.0
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Colorado2

24% 22%
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Minnesota2

54%
CLR MNU
Adjusted goals 2.1 2.1
Shot-based xG 1.9 1.4
Non-shot xG 1.5 1.8
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FC Cincinnati2

23% 22%
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NY Red Bulls0

55%
CIN NWY
Adjusted goals 2.1 0.0
Shot-based xG 0.2 1.1
Non-shot xG 0.3 2.1
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Real Salt Lake0

37% 27%
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Sporting KC2

36%
RSL SKC
Adjusted goals 0.0 1.7
Shot-based xG 0.3 1.2
Non-shot xG 0.6 0.9
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Montreal1

32% 25%
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D.C. United0

43%
MTL DCU
Adjusted goals 1.1 0.0
Shot-based xG 0.5 0.5
Non-shot xG 1.0 1.4
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Atlanta0

42% 28%
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Columbus1

31%
ATL CLB
Adjusted goals 0.0 1.1
Shot-based xG 0.7 0.8
Non-shot xG 1.3 0.7
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Toronto FC0

45% 23%
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New England0

32%
TOR NWE
Adjusted goals 0.0 0.0
Shot-based xG 1.2 1.2
Non-shot xG 1.1 0.9
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Philadelphia1

47% 23%
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Orlando City1

29%
PHI ORL
Adjusted goals 1.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 0.9 1.2
Non-shot xG 1.0 1.6
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Inter Miami0

37% 25%
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NYCFC1

38%
MIA NYC
Adjusted goals 0.0 1.1
Shot-based xG 0.3 0.7
Non-shot xG 0.8 0.9
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Seattle3

58% 22%
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Vancouver0

20%
SEA VAN
Adjusted goals 3.2 0.0
Shot-based xG 3.1 0.8
Non-shot xG 1.4 1.2
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Chicago0

41% 23%
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San Jose2

36%
CHI SAN
Adjusted goals 0.0 1.8
Shot-based xG 0.4 0.7
Non-shot xG 1.0 0.8
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LAFC6

57% 18%
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LA Galaxy2

25%
LAFC LAG
Adjusted goals 5.4 2.1
Shot-based xG 2.7 1.1
Non-shot xG 1.7 0.7
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Portland2

43% 23%
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Houston1

34%
PRT HOU
Adjusted goals 2.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 0.7 2.0
Non-shot xG 1.4 1.6
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Real Salt Lake0

34% 28%
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Minnesota0

38%
RSL MNU
Adjusted goals 0.0 0.0
Shot-based xG 0.8 0.7
Non-shot xG 0.5 0.4
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Sporting KC3

43% 23%
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Colorado2

34%
SKC CLR
Adjusted goals 2.5 2.1
Shot-based xG 2.5 0.3
Non-shot xG 2.2 0.9
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D.C. United1

34% 24%
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New England1

42%
DCU NWE
Adjusted goals 1.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 0.5 0.9
Non-shot xG 0.4 1.7
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Columbus2

40% 25%
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NY Red Bulls0

35%
CLB NWY
Adjusted goals 2.1 0.0
Shot-based xG 1.4 0.3
Non-shot xG 0.8 1.4
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Montreal3

23% 22%
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Toronto FC4

54%
MTL TOR
Adjusted goals 3.2 3.9
Shot-based xG 2.5 1.4
Non-shot xG 1.3 0.7
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Atlanta0

67% 19%
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FC Cincinnati1

13%
ATL CIN
Adjusted goals 0.0 0.8
Shot-based xG 0.3 1.0
Non-shot xG 0.6 1.3
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Vancouver3

25% 23%
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San Jose4

52%
VAN SAN
Adjusted goals 3.2 4.2
Shot-based xG 0.8 2.8
Non-shot xG 0.6 3.2
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Philadelphia2

39% 25%
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Inter Miami1

36%
PHI MIA
Adjusted goals 2.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 0.4 1.3
Non-shot xG 0.7 1.3
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NYCFC1

48% 24%
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Orlando City3

28%
NYC ORL
Adjusted goals 1.1 2.9
Shot-based xG 2.3 2.4
Non-shot xG 2.5 1.6
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Chicago2

36% 24%
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Seattle1

40%
CHI SEA
Adjusted goals 2.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 1.4 0.9
Non-shot xG 0.9 1.1
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LA Galaxy1

43% 21%
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Portland2

36%
LAG PRT
Adjusted goals 0.8 2.1
Shot-based xG 2.8 1.8
Non-shot xG 1.3 1.6
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LAFC3

63% 19%
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Houston3

19%
LAFC HOU
Adjusted goals 3.2 3.2
Shot-based xG 2.5 1.7
Non-shot xG 2.5 0.6
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Toronto FC2

51% 24%
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D.C. United2

25%
TOR DCU
Adjusted goals 2.1 2.1
Shot-based xG 2.2 0.9
Non-shot xG 1.8 1.2
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Real Salt Lake2

39% 27%
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Colorado0

34%
RSL CLR
Adjusted goals 1.9 0.0
Shot-based xG 2.0 0.9
Non-shot xG 0.7 0.9
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Sporting KC1

35% 23%
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Minnesota2

42%
SKC MNU
Adjusted goals 1.1 1.7
Shot-based xG 1.6 1.3
Non-shot xG 1.2 1.0
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FC Cincinnati0

21% 24%
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Columbus4

55%
CIN CLB
Adjusted goals 0.0 4.2
Shot-based xG 0.3 1.3
Non-shot xG 0.4 1.7
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Atlanta0

46% 24%
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NY Red Bulls1

30%
ATL NWY
Adjusted goals 0.0 1.1
Shot-based xG 1.6 1.7
Non-shot xG 1.6 0.9
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Seattle0

46% 23%
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San Jose0

31%
SEA SAN
Adjusted goals 0.0 0.0
Shot-based xG 1.1 0.7
Non-shot xG 1.1 1.5
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Montreal0

32% 23%
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New England1

45%
MTL NWE
Adjusted goals 0.0 1.1
Shot-based xG 0.8 1.0
Non-shot xG 0.8 1.3
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NYCFC0

37% 24%
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Philadelphia1

39%
NYC PHI
Adjusted goals 0.0 1.1
Shot-based xG 1.9 0.4
Non-shot xG 1.8 1.0
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Orlando City2

27% 24%
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Inter Miami1

48%
ORL MIA
Adjusted goals 2.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 1.7 1.4
Non-shot xG 1.2 1.6

March 3-9

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LAFC3

63% 19%
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Philadelphia3

18%
LAFC PHI
Adjusted goals 3.2 3.2
Shot-based xG 2.7 1.2
Non-shot xG 2.8 0.9
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Portland1

67% 20%
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Nashville0

13%
PRT NSH
Adjusted goals 1.1 0.0
Shot-based xG 0.2 1.1
Non-shot xG 0.9 2.2
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Seattle1

58% 23%
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Columbus1

19%
SEA CLB
Adjusted goals 1.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 2.1 0.9
Non-shot xG 1.7 1.2
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LA Galaxy0

78% 13%
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Vancouver1

9%
LAG VAN
Adjusted goals 0.0 1.1
Shot-based xG 0.6 1.4
Non-shot xG 1.2 0.5
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Colorado2

57% 21%
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Orlando City1

22%
CLR ORL
Adjusted goals 2.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 0.6 0.8
Non-shot xG 0.7 0.9
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Sporting KC4

56% 22%
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Houston0

23%
SKC HOU
Adjusted goals 4.0 0.0
Shot-based xG 2.7 0.7
Non-shot xG 1.2 0.9
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San Jose2

51% 23%
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Minnesota5

26%
SAN MNU
Adjusted goals 2.1 5.2
Shot-based xG 2.3 2.5
Non-shot xG 1.5 1.6
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Atlanta2

82% 13%
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FC Cincinnati1

5%
ATL CIN
Adjusted goals 2.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 1.5 0.5
Non-shot xG 0.5 1.0
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Toronto FC1

53% 23%
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NYCFC0

24%
TOR NYC
Adjusted goals 1.1 0.0
Shot-based xG 1.9 0.6
Non-shot xG 1.9 1.1
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D.C. United2

42% 26%
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Inter Miami1

33%
DCU MIA
Adjusted goals 1.7 1.1
Shot-based xG 1.3 1.4
Non-shot xG 0.9 1.8
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FC Dallas2

62% 21%
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Montreal2

17%
DAL MTL
Adjusted goals 2.1 2.1
Shot-based xG 2.8 1.8
Non-shot xG 2.4 0.5
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Real Salt Lake1

50% 26%
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NY Red Bulls1

24%
RSL NWY
Adjusted goals 1.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 3.9 0.2
Non-shot xG 1.9 0.6
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New England1

47% 22%
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Chicago1

30%
NWE CHI
Adjusted goals 1.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 3.1 1.2
Non-shot xG 1.1 1.4

February 25 – March 2

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Portland1

55% 22%
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Minnesota3

23%
PRT MNU
Adjusted goals 1.1 2.9
Shot-based xG 1.7 2.6
Non-shot xG 2.5 1.5
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LAFC1

66% 19%
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Inter Miami0

16%
LAFC MIA
Adjusted goals 1.1 0.0
Shot-based xG 2.4 1.4
Non-shot xG 1.5 1.8
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Seattle2

52% 23%
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Chicago1

25%
SEA CHI
Adjusted goals 2.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 3.8 0.5
Non-shot xG 2.0 1.0
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NY Red Bulls3

79% 14%
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FC Cincinnati2

6%
NWY CIN
Adjusted goals 3.2 2.1
Shot-based xG 2.1 2.2
Non-shot xG 2.0 1.0
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Columbus1

44% 25%
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NYCFC0

31%
CLB NYC
Adjusted goals 0.8 0.0
Shot-based xG 1.6 0.3
Non-shot xG 2.4 0.7
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Vancouver1

36% 23%
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Sporting KC3

41%
VAN SKC
Adjusted goals 1.1 2.6
Shot-based xG 1.7 0.5
Non-shot xG 0.9 1.7
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Nashville1

30% 26%
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Atlanta2

45%
NSH ATL
Adjusted goals 1.1 2.1
Shot-based xG 0.8 0.2
Non-shot xG 0.9 0.7
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Orlando City0

47% 26%
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Real Salt Lake0

26%
ORL RSL
Adjusted goals 0.0 0.0
Shot-based xG 0.9 0.2
Non-shot xG 1.5 0.4
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FC Dallas2

48% 23%
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Philadelphia0

29%
DAL PHI
Adjusted goals 1.6 0.0
Shot-based xG 0.9 0.8
Non-shot xG 1.1 1.6
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San Jose2

47% 23%
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Toronto FC2

30%
SAN TOR
Adjusted goals 2.1 2.1
Shot-based xG 0.7 2.0
Non-shot xG 1.0 1.7
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Houston1

44% 21%
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LA Galaxy1

36%
HOU LAG
Adjusted goals 1.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 0.6 0.9
Non-shot xG 1.8 1.4
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Montreal2

46% 23%
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New England1

31%
MTL NWE
Adjusted goals 2.1 1.1
Shot-based xG 1.5 1.5
Non-shot xG 1.2 1.6
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D.C. United1

51% 23%
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Colorado2

26%
DCU CLR
Adjusted goals 1.1 2.1
Shot-based xG 1.4 1.7
Non-shot xG 1.3 1.4

Source

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